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ETERNAL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:12 pm

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code ETERNAL Market Cap 2,63,165 Cr. Current Price 273 ₹ High / Low 368 ₹
Stock P/E 104 Book Value 37.1 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 7.34 %
ROE 6.55 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 286 ₹ DMA 200 285 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.80 % Chg in DII Hold 2.57 % PAT Qtr 657 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 691 Cr.
RSI 44.2 MACD -5.47 Volume 2,15,70,777 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,82,12,340
Low price 190 ₹ High price 368 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.07 Debt to equity 0.01
52w Index 46.5 % Qtr Profit Var 33.0 % EPS 2.62 ₹ Industry PE 49.0

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock corrected from 368 ₹ highs and is consolidating near 273 ₹, showing weakness but holding above 190 ₹ support.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (273 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (286 ₹) and 200 DMA (285 ₹), confirming short-term bearishness.
  • RSI: At 44.2, the stock is neutral, neither oversold nor overbought.
  • MACD: Negative (-5.47), indicating bearish momentum persists.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, suggesting oversold conditions but not yet a reversal signal.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (2,15,70,777) is significantly lower than 1-week average (6,82,12,340), showing weak participation.

📊 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-Term Momentum: Weak, with potential for sideways consolidation.
  • Support Zones: 270 ₹ (near-term), 250 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Zones: 286 ₹ (50 DMA), 300 ₹ (trendline resistance), 320 ₹ (higher resistance).
  • Entry Zone: 270–275 ₹ if RSI stabilizes.
  • Exit Zone: 286–300 ₹ on rebound; strict stop-loss below 270 ₹.
  • Trend Status: Stock is consolidating after correction, awaiting breakout direction.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT at 657 Cr. shows consistent profitability despite slight decline from previous quarter.
  • DII holdings increased (+2.57 %), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.01) indicates excellent financial stability.
  • Quarterly profit variance (+33.0 %) highlights operational improvement year-on-year.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weak technical strength.
  • High P/E (104) compared to industry PE (49.0) suggests premium valuation.
  • ROCE (7.34 %) and ROE (6.55 %) are relatively low, showing weak capital efficiency.
  • No dividend yield (0.00 %) offers no income support.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-2.80 %), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • MACD remains negative, signaling continued bearish momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+2.57 %), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit variance (+33.0 %) highlights operational improvement year-on-year.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 49.0 is much lower than company PE (104), suggesting ETERNAL trades at a significant premium.
  • Sector outlook remains stable, with growth potential but valuation concerns.

🔎 Conclusion

  • ETERNAL is in a consolidation phase after correction, with neutral RSI but bearish MACD.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry near 270–275 ₹ with exit around 286–300 ₹.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to premium valuations and weak ROCE/ROE, despite strong institutional support and profit growth.

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