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ELECON - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.9

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 2.9

Stock Code ELECON Market Cap 8,933 Cr. Current Price 398 ₹ High / Low 717 ₹
Stock P/E 24.0 Book Value 85.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.50 % ROCE 29.1 %
ROE 22.6 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 425 ₹ DMA 200 497 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.22 % Chg in DII Hold 0.35 % PAT Qtr 61.9 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 78.9 Cr.
RSI 45.0 MACD -11.7 Volume 6,49,296 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,29,210
Low price 348 ₹ High price 717 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.47 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 13.6 % Qtr Profit Var -32.7 % EPS 22.5 ₹ Industry PE 33.0

📉 Chart & Trend: ELECON is trading at ₹398, below both its 50 DMA (₹425) and 200 DMA (₹497). This indicates short-term and medium-term weakness. The stock is in a consolidation-to-downtrend

📊 Momentum Indicators:

- RSI at 45.0 shows weak momentum, leaning towards oversold but not yet reversal strength.

- MACD at -11.7 confirms bearish crossover.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, suggesting limited downside but no strong reversal yet.

- Volume is slightly above average, showing mild activity but not strong accumulation.

📈 Support & Resistance:

- Immediate support: ₹348 (recent low).

- Resistance zones: ₹425 (50 DMA) and ₹497 (200 DMA).

- Optimal entry: ₹360–380 near support.

- Exit zone: ₹440–460 if rebound occurs.

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias, awaiting breakout above 50 DMA for reversal confirmation.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (29.1%) and ROE (22.6%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.12) indicates financial stability.
  • PEG ratio of 0.47 suggests attractive valuation relative to growth.
  • EPS of ₹22.5 shows consistent earnings power.

Limitation

  • Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA signals technical weakness.
  • Quarterly PAT declined to ₹61.9 Cr from ₹78.9 Cr, showing earnings pressure.
  • Quarter profit variation (-32.7%) indicates volatility in performance.

Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased by -0.22%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Recent earnings decline adds pressure on valuations.

Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased by +0.35%, reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • Strong historical profitability metrics (ROCE, ROE) remain intact despite short-term weakness.

Industry

  • Capital goods sector is cyclical, influenced by infrastructure spending and industrial demand.
  • Industry PE at 33.0 is higher than ELECON’s PE (24.0), suggesting relative undervaluation compared to peers.

Conclusion

📌 ELECON is technically weak, consolidating below key moving averages with bearish momentum. Entry is favorable around ₹360–380 with stop-loss below ₹340. Short-term rebound may target ₹440–460, but sustained breakout requires volume confirmation. Fundamentally strong with efficient capital use, making it attractive for long-term investors despite near-term earnings pressure.

Would you like me to also prepare a peer benchmarking overlay against other capital goods players like Thermax, ABB India, and Siemens to highlight relative strength and sector rotation opportunities?

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