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ELECON - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:12 pm

Technical Rating: 3.0

Stock Code ELECON Market Cap 9,014 Cr. Current Price 402 ₹ High / Low 717 ₹
Stock P/E 24.2 Book Value 85.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.51 % ROCE 29.1 %
ROE 22.6 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 454 ₹ DMA 200 526 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.22 % Chg in DII Hold 0.35 % PAT Qtr 61.9 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 78.9 Cr.
RSI 39.7 MACD -23.9 Volume 3,92,788 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,80,588
Low price 348 ₹ High price 717 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.48 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 14.6 % Qtr Profit Var -32.7 % EPS 22.5 ₹ Industry PE 35.4

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock has corrected from 717 ₹ highs and is consolidating near 402 ₹, showing weakness but holding above major support levels.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (402 ₹) is below 50 DMA (454 ₹) and 200 DMA (526 ₹), confirming bearish sentiment.
  • RSI: At 39.7, the stock is close to oversold territory, suggesting potential for a rebound.
  • MACD: Negative (-23.9), reinforcing bearish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, signaling oversold conditions but risk of breakdown.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (3,92,788) is lower than 1-week average (4,80,588), showing reduced participation.

📊 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-Term Momentum: Weak, but RSI suggests potential for technical bounce.
  • Support Zones: 390 ₹ (near-term), 348 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Zones: 454 ₹ (50 DMA), 526 ₹ (200 DMA), 560 ₹ (trendline resistance).
  • Entry Zone: 390–400 ₹ if RSI stabilizes.
  • Exit Zone: 454–526 ₹ on rebound; strict stop-loss below 390 ₹.
  • Trend Status: Stock is bearish but showing signs of consolidation near support.

✅ Positive

  • Strong fundamentals with ROCE (29.1 %) and ROE (22.6 %) indicating efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.12) shows financial stability.
  • PEG ratio at 0.48 suggests growth potential at reasonable valuation.
  • EPS at 22.5 ₹ supports earnings strength.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weak technical strength.
  • Quarterly PAT declined (61.9 Cr. vs 78.9 Cr.), showing earnings pressure.
  • Dividend yield at 0.51 % is modest, offering limited income support.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variance (-32.7 %) highlights declining earnings momentum.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.22 %), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.35 %), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong long-term fundamentals with consistent profitability and growth.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 35.4 is higher than company PE (24.2), suggesting ELECON is undervalued compared to peers.
  • Sector outlook remains stable, with potential for cyclical recovery.

🔎 Conclusion

  • ELECON is in a bearish consolidation phase after correction, with oversold signals appearing.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry near 390–400 ₹ with exit around 454–526 ₹.
  • Long-term investors may find value due to strong fundamentals and lower valuation compared to industry peers.

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