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CRAFTSMAN - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:12 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code CRAFTSMAN Market Cap 17,920 Cr. Current Price 7,512 ₹ High / Low 8,069 ₹
Stock P/E 104 Book Value 1,206 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.07 % ROCE 8.11 %
ROE 4.31 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 7,320 ₹ DMA 200 6,547 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.58 % Chg in DII Hold 0.88 % PAT Qtr 58.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 47.2 Cr.
RSI 48.7 MACD 22.3 Volume 19,541 Avg Vol 1Wk 81,309
Low price 3,700 ₹ High price 8,069 ₹ PEG Ratio -6.37 Debt to equity 0.96
52w Index 87.2 % Qtr Profit Var 1,005 % EPS 71.6 ₹ Industry PE 28.0

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: CRAFTSMAN is trading at 7,512 ₹, close to its recent high of 8,069 ₹, showing strong upward momentum but facing resistance near peak levels.
  • Moving Averages: Current price is above both 50 DMA (7,320 ₹) and 200 DMA (6,547 ₹), indicating bullish strength in the medium term.
  • RSI: At 48.7, the stock is neutral, suggesting balanced momentum without overbought or oversold signals.
  • MACD: Positive (22.3), confirming bullish crossover and short-term strength.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band, indicating strong momentum but risk of short-term pullback.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (19,541) is significantly lower than 1-week average (81,309), showing weak participation despite price strength.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-Term Momentum: Bullish, but low volume suggests caution.
  • Support Zones: 7,300–7,350 ₹ (near-term support), 6,900 ₹ (strong support).
  • Resistance Zones: 7,800–8,000 ₹ (major resistance), 8,069 ₹ (recent high).
  • Optimal Entry: Around 7,300–7,400 ₹ if support holds.
  • Optimal Exit: 7,900–8,000 ₹ range, unless breakout above 8,069 ₹ confirms continuation.
  • Trend Status: Currently trending upward but showing signs of consolidation due to weak volume.

✅ Positive

  • Strong EPS (71.6 ₹) and recent PAT growth (58.4 Cr. vs 47.2 Cr.).
  • Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms bullish technical strength.
  • FII (+0.58%) and DII (+0.88%) holdings increased, showing institutional confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+1,005%) highlights strong earnings momentum.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (104) compared to industry PE (28.0), suggesting overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio (-6.37) indicates poor valuation relative to growth.
  • Low ROCE (8.11%) and ROE (4.31%) show weak capital efficiency.
  • High debt-to-equity (0.96) raises financial risk.
  • Dividend yield (0.07%) is negligible, offering limited income support.

📉 Company Negative News

  • High leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96.
  • Valuation concerns due to P/E of 104, far above industry average.

📈 Company Positive News

  • PAT improved significantly from 47.2 Cr. to 58.4 Cr.
  • Institutional investors (FII & DII) increased holdings.
  • Stock has delivered strong 52-week performance (+87.2%).

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E is 28.0, much lower than CRAFTSMAN’s 104, highlighting relative overvaluation.
  • Auto ancillary sector is cyclical but currently supported by demand recovery in manufacturing and exports.

📝 Conclusion

  • CRAFTSMAN is technically bullish but fundamentally overvalued with weak efficiency ratios.
  • Stock may continue upward momentum if volume improves and price sustains above 7,300 ₹.
  • Best strategy: Enter near 7,300–7,400 ₹ and exit around 7,900–8,000 ₹ unless breakout above 8,069 ₹ confirms continuation.

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