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COHANCE - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code COHANCE Market Cap 11,730 Cr. Current Price 306 ₹ High / Low 1,250 ₹
Stock P/E 34.7 Book Value 115 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 16.0 %
ROE 12.5 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 366 ₹ DMA 200 645 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.50 % Chg in DII Hold 0.76 % PAT Qtr 50.8 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 94.3 Cr.
RSI 43.2 MACD -17.3 Volume 5,44,590 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,78,332
Low price 267 ₹ High price 1,250 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.68 Debt to equity 0.05
52w Index 4.03 % Qtr Profit Var -67.0 % EPS 9.90 ₹ Industry PE 27.6

📈 Chart & Trend: COHANCE is trading at ₹306, well below both its 50 DMA (₹366) and 200 DMA (₹645). This indicates strong short-term and medium-term weakness, with the stock consolidating near support levels.

📊 Momentum Indicators:

- RSI at 43.2 suggests mildly oversold conditions, potential for rebound.

- MACD at -17.3 shows bearish crossover, confirming short-term weakness.

- Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, indicating possible mean reversion.

- Volume: Current volume (5.4 lakh) is lower than 1-week average (8.8 lakh), showing reduced participation.

🔑 Support & Resistance:

- Support zone: ₹290–₹300

- Resistance zone: ₹360–₹370 (near 50 DMA)

- Breakout resistance: ₹640–₹650 (near 200 DMA)

- Long-term support: ₹267

📌 Entry & Exit Zones:

- Entry: ₹290–₹306 (near support)

- Exit: ₹360–₹640 (resistance zone)

- Stop-loss: ₹280

📉 Trend Status: Strong bearish consolidation. Needs a breakout above ₹366–₹645 to confirm reversal and trend continuation.


Positive

  • ROCE at 16% and ROE at 12.5% reflect moderate operational efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 indicates negligible leverage.
  • DII holdings increased by 0.76%, showing domestic investor confidence.

Limitation

  • Stock trading well below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weakness.
  • Quarterly PAT declined sharply (₹50.8 Cr vs ₹94.3 Cr), showing earnings pressure.
  • FII holdings decreased by 0.50%, showing reduced foreign confidence.
  • PEG ratio of -1.68 highlights poor growth relative to valuation.
  • High P/E of 34.7 compared to industry PE of 27.6 indicates premium valuation.

Company Negative News

  • No major recent negative news reported, but sharp earnings decline and reduced FII holdings are concerns.

Company Positive News

  • Debt-free status strengthens financial stability.
  • Domestic institutional inflows indicate growing confidence.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 27.6 vs stock PE at 34.7 shows COHANCE trades at a premium.
  • Chemicals and specialty sector supported by demand in pharma and industrial applications, though cyclical risks remain.

Conclusion

⚡ COHANCE is in a bearish consolidation phase, trading well below key moving averages. Entry near ₹290–₹306 offers margin of safety, with exit targets around ₹360–₹640. Strong fundamentals and low debt support long-term prospects, but sharp earnings decline, premium valuation, and weak momentum indicators pose short-term risks.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing COHANCE with other specialty chemical players (like Aarti Industries, Atul Ltd, and Deepak Nitrite) to highlight relative strength, valuation gaps, and sector rotation opportunities?

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