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COHANCE - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code COHANCE Market Cap 14,191 Cr. Current Price 371 ₹ High / Low 1,328 ₹
Stock P/E 38.2 Book Value 115 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 16.0 %
ROE 12.5 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 510 ₹ DMA 200 769 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.50 % Chg in DII Hold 0.76 % PAT Qtr 94.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 58.6 Cr.
RSI 14.2 MACD -43.2 Volume 2,50,645 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,65,690
Low price 356 ₹ High price 1,328 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.85 Debt to equity 0.05
52w Index 1.54 % Qtr Profit Var -32.2 % EPS 12.0 ₹ Industry PE 29.1

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: COHANCE has corrected sharply from its 52-week high of 1,328 ₹ and is consolidating near 371 ₹.
  • Moving Averages: Price (371 ₹) is well below both 50 DMA (510 ₹) and 200 DMA (769 ₹), confirming strong bearish momentum.
  • RSI: At 14.2, deeply oversold — potential rebound possible.
  • MACD: Negative (-43.2), reinforcing bearish sentiment.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, suggesting oversold conditions.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (2.5 lakh) below 1-week average (4.65 lakh), showing weak participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak due to negative MACD and extremely oversold RSI.
  • Support Levels: 360 ₹ (near-term), 356 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Levels: 390 ₹ (short-term), 420 ₹ (next resistance).
  • Optimal Entry Zone: 360–375 ₹ (close to support).
  • Optimal Exit Zone: 390–420 ₹ (near resistance).
  • Trend Status: Strongly bearish, but oversold signals suggest possible reversal.

✅ Positive

  • ROCE (16.0%) and ROE (12.5%) show moderate efficiency.
  • EPS of 12.0 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.76%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 indicates very low leverage.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E (38.2) above industry PE (29.1), suggesting premium valuation despite correction.
  • PEG ratio (-1.85) indicates poor valuation relative to growth.
  • Stock trading far below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling strong weakness.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.50%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation (-32.2%) highlights earnings slowdown.
  • Stock trading near bottom of 52-week index (1.54%), reflecting steep correction.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Sequential PAT growth (94.3 Cr vs 58.6 Cr) shows operational improvement despite YoY decline.
  • Strong domestic institutional support with DII inflows.

🏭 Industry

  • Specialty chemicals sector supported by global demand and industrial applications.
  • Industry PE at 29.1 vs stock PE at 38.2 — stock trades at premium valuation.

🔎 Conclusion

  • COHANCE is in a strong bearish trend but oversold RSI suggests potential rebound.
  • Best entry near 360–375 ₹, exit near 390–420 ₹ unless breakout above 420 ₹ occurs.
  • Medium-term outlook cautious due to earnings slowdown and premium valuation, though low debt and sequential profit growth provide some support.

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