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CIPLA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code CIPLA Market Cap 1,02,479 Cr. Current Price 1,268 ₹ High / Low 1,673 ₹
Stock P/E 22.4 Book Value 412 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.02 % ROCE 20.1 %
ROE 16.0 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,359 ₹ DMA 200 1,450 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.61 % Chg in DII Hold 0.47 % PAT Qtr 822 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,211 Cr.
RSI 29.6 MACD -17.8 Volume 22,73,484 Avg Vol 1Wk 17,59,305
Low price 1,265 ₹ High price 1,673 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.22 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 0.88 % Qtr Profit Var -42.9 % EPS 57.2 ₹ Industry PE 27.6

📈 Chart & Trend: CIPLA is trading at ₹1,268, below both its 50 DMA (₹1,359) and 200 DMA (₹1,450). This indicates short-term and medium-term weakness, with the stock trending downward.

📊 Momentum Indicators:

- RSI at 29.6 suggests oversold conditions, potential for rebound.

- MACD at -17.8 shows bearish crossover, confirming short-term weakness.

- Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, indicating possible mean reversion.

- Volume: Current volume (22.7 lakh) is higher than 1-week average (17.6 lakh), showing strong participation despite weakness.

🔑 Support & Resistance:

- Support zone: ₹1,260–₹1,270

- Resistance zone: ₹1,350–₹1,360 (near 50 DMA)

- Breakout resistance: ₹1,440–₹1,450 (near 200 DMA)

- Long-term support: ₹1,265

📌 Entry & Exit Zones:

- Entry: ₹1,260–₹1,270 (near support)

- Exit: ₹1,350–₹1,440 (resistance zone)

- Stop-loss: ₹1,240

📉 Trend Status: Strong bearish consolidation. Needs a breakout above ₹1,359–₹1,450 to confirm reversal and trend continuation.


Positive

  • ROCE at 20.1% and ROE at 16% reflect strong operational and shareholder returns.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 indicates a debt-free balance sheet.
  • EPS of ₹57.2 supports earnings visibility.
  • DII holdings increased by 0.47%, showing domestic investor confidence.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weakness.
  • Quarterly PAT declined sharply (₹822 Cr vs ₹1,211 Cr), showing earnings pressure.
  • FII holdings decreased by 0.61%, showing reduced foreign confidence.
  • PEG ratio of 1.22 suggests moderate valuation relative to growth.

Company Negative News

  • No major recent negative news reported, but earnings decline and reduced FII holdings are concerns.

Company Positive News

  • Debt-free status strengthens financial stability.
  • Strong ROCE and ROE highlight efficient capital use.
  • DII inflows indicate growing domestic confidence.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 27.6 vs stock PE at 22.4 shows CIPLA trades at a discount.
  • Pharma sector remains resilient with long-term demand drivers, though margin pressures persist.

Conclusion

⚡ CIPLA is in a bearish consolidation phase, trading below key moving averages. Entry near ₹1,260–₹1,270 offers margin of safety, with exit targets around ₹1,350–₹1,440. Strong fundamentals and debt-free status support long-term prospects, but sharp earnings decline and weak momentum indicators pose short-term risks.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing CIPLA with Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s, and Lupin to highlight relative strength, valuation gaps, and sector rotation opportunities?

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