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TATAINVEST - Investment Analysis: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?

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Rating: 2.4

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 08:34 am

Investment Rating: 2.4

Stock Code TATAINVEST Market Cap 32,419 Cr. Current Price 640 ₹ High / Low 1,185 ₹
Stock P/E 97.3 Book Value 622 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.42 % ROCE 1.09 %
ROE 0.93 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 681 ₹ DMA 200 704 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.15 % Chg in DII Hold 0.00 % PAT Qtr 37.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 122 Cr.
RSI 44.8 MACD -21.4 Volume 5,48,162 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,44,106
Low price 515 ₹ High price 1,185 ₹ PEG Ratio 8.14 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 18.8 % Qtr Profit Var 7.72 % EPS 6.59 ₹ Industry PE 23.5

📊 Analysis: TATAINVEST shows very weak fundamentals for long-term compounding. ROE at 0.93% and ROCE at 1.09% are critically low, indicating poor capital efficiency. The P/E of 97.3 compared to the industry average of 23.5 suggests extreme overvaluation. EPS of 6.59 ₹ is weak relative to price, and dividend yield of 0.42% offers negligible passive returns. PEG ratio of 8.14 highlights growth priced at a steep premium. Technicals show weakness with RSI at 44.8 and MACD negative. The ideal entry zone lies between 520–560 ₹ for margin of safety. For existing holders, exit on rallies near 680–700 ₹ is advisable, as fundamentals do not support long-term compounding.

✅ Positive

  • Market cap of 32,419 Cr. provides scale and stability.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 indicates a debt-free balance sheet.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (+7.72%) shows short-term recovery momentum.
  • Book value of 622 ₹ provides some valuation support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (97.3) compared to industry average (23.5).
  • Critically low ROE (0.93%) and ROCE (1.09%).
  • Dividend yield of 0.42% is negligible.
  • PEG ratio of 8.14 highlights expensive growth valuation.
  • Weak EPS (6.59 ₹) relative to price.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sequential decline in quarterly PAT (37 Cr. vs 122 Cr.).
  • MACD at -21.4 indicates bearish sentiment.
  • Stock trading at only 18.8% of 52-week index range, reflecting weak momentum.
  • FII holdings decreased by -0.15%, showing reduced foreign confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation (+7.72%) shows some operational recovery.
  • Debt-free balance sheet enhances financial resilience.

🏭 Industry

  • Investment holding companies benefit from exposure to diversified Tata Group businesses.
  • Industry P/E at 23.5 suggests TATAINVEST trades at a steep premium.
  • Structural drivers: long-term value creation through group investments, but limited direct earnings growth.

🔎 Conclusion

TATAINVEST earns a rating of 2.4 due to extremely weak ROE/ROCE, expensive valuations, and negligible dividend yield despite being debt-free. Long-term investors should avoid fresh entry unless valuations correct to 520–560 ₹. Current holders should consider exiting near 680–700 ₹ resistance levels. The stock remains a speculative holding company play rather than a strong long-term compounding candidate.

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