SONACOMS - Investment Analysis
Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am
Back to Investment ListInvestment Rating: 3.8
📊 Fundamental & Valuation Analysis
Strengths
ROCE (17.8%) & ROE (14.3%): Solid profitability metrics for a capital-intensive auto component business.
Debt-to-Equity (0.04): Virtually debt-free, which is excellent for long-term sustainability.
Consistent PAT Growth: Quarterly profit growth of 11.9% and steady EPS improvement.
Global Presence: Sona BLW has diversified revenue across geographies and vehicle segments
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Concerns
High P/E (50.1) vs Industry P/E (31.2): Valuation is stretched.
PEG Ratio (2.72): Indicates overvaluation relative to earnings growth.
Dividend Yield (0.68%): Low, not ideal for income-focused investors.
FII Holding Decline (-0.16%): Slight negative sentiment from foreign institutions.
Price Trend: Trading below 50 DMA (484 ₹) and 200 DMA (534 ₹), indicating bearish momentum
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📉 Technical & Trend Analysis
RSI (46.8): Neutral zone, not oversold yet.
MACD (-3.25): Bearish crossover, momentum is weak.
Volume Drop: Current volume is lower than weekly average, suggesting reduced interest.
Downtrend Confirmation: Price below key level of ₹518.32, trend weakening but still bearish
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💡 Entry Price Zone (For New Investors)
Ideal accumulation zone: ₹420–₹450
This range aligns with historical support levels and offers a better margin of safety.
Wait for confirmation of reversal patterns or breakout above ₹505 for momentum entry
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🧭 Exit Strategy / Holding Period (For Existing Investors)
If you already hold SONACOMS
Hold if your horizon is 3–5 years, as long-term fundamentals remain intact.
Exit if price breaks below ₹420 with volume confirmation, or if it continues to underperform broader indices.
Re-enter near ₹400–₹420 if fundamentals remain strong and technicals show reversal.
Holding rationale
Long-term CAGR in profit ~31% over 5 years
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Strong innovation pipeline in EV components and global expansion
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Low debt and improving margins support long-term compounding
Would you like a comparison with other auto ancillary stocks like Motherson or Bosch to evaluate alternatives?
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