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PFIZER - Investment Analysis: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 10:33 am

Investment Rating: 3.6

Stock Code PFIZER Market Cap 21,284 Cr. Current Price 4,668 ₹ High / Low 5,993 ₹
Stock P/E 30.1 Book Value 841 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.75 % ROCE 21.6 %
ROE 16.4 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 4,849 ₹ DMA 200 5,004 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.11 % Chg in DII Hold -0.06 % PAT Qtr 189 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 192 Cr.
RSI 44.8 MACD -95.4 Volume 11,129 Avg Vol 1Wk 10,158
Low price 3,701 ₹ High price 5,993 ₹ PEG Ratio 19.1 Debt to equity 0.01
52w Index 42.2 % Qtr Profit Var 19.4 % EPS 183 ₹ Industry PE 29.2

📊 Analysis: Pfizer India trades at ₹4,668 with a P/E of 30.1, slightly above the industry average of 29.2, suggesting fair valuation. Fundamentals are solid with ROE at 16.4% and ROCE at 21.6%, reflecting efficient capital use. EPS of ₹183 is strong, and debt-to-equity is very low at 0.01, showing financial stability. Dividend yield of 0.75% provides modest income support. However, PEG ratio of 19.1 indicates expensive valuation relative to growth. Quarterly PAT is stable (₹189 Cr. vs ₹192 Cr.), showing consistency. Technicals are weak (RSI 44.8, MACD negative, trading below DMA 50 & 200), suggesting bearish momentum. Overall, Pfizer India is a fundamentally sound company but currently overvalued, making dips more attractive for entry.

💡 Entry Price Zone: Ideal accumulation range is ₹4,200–₹4,400, closer to the 52-week low (₹3,701) and below DMA levels. Current price is slightly stretched, so dips offer better risk-reward.

📈 Exit / Holding Strategy: For existing holders, Pfizer India is a stable long-term compounder. Recommended holding period: 5+ years to benefit from consistent healthcare demand and dividend payouts. Exit strategy: partial profit booking near ₹5,700–₹5,900 if valuations stretch, while retaining core holdings for compounding.


Positive

  • Strong ROE (16.4%) and ROCE (21.6%) show efficient capital utilization.
  • EPS of ₹183 supports earnings strength.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 indicates financial stability.
  • Dividend yield of 0.75% provides modest income.
  • FII holdings increased slightly (+0.11%), showing foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

  • PEG ratio of 19.1 suggests expensive valuation relative to growth.
  • Stock trading below DMA 50 (4,849) and DMA 200 (5,004), showing weak technical trend.
  • MACD negative (-95.4), indicating bearish momentum.
  • DII holdings reduced (-0.06%), showing lower domestic institutional confidence.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined slightly from ₹192 Cr. to ₹189 Cr.
  • Technical indicators show weakness with RSI below 50 and MACD negative.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation (+19.4%) shows growth momentum.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.11%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 29.2, close to Pfizer India’s valuation, suggesting fair pricing.
  • Pharmaceutical industry has strong long-term demand potential driven by healthcare needs and innovation.

Conclusion

✅ Pfizer India is a fundamentally strong, debt-free company with consistent profitability and modest dividend yield but currently overvalued. Ideal entry is ₹4,200–₹4,400. Long-term investors can hold for 5+ years to benefit from compounding. Existing holders may book profits near ₹5,700–₹5,900 while retaining core positions for sustained growth.

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