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CGPOWER - Investment Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

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πŸ“Š Investment Rating: 3.6

CG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd. is a high-growth, low-debt player in the electrical engineering space, but its current valuation metrics suggest caution for long-term investors. Here's a detailed breakdown

βœ… Strengths for Long-Term Investment

Exceptional Profitability

ROCE: 37.5% β€” very efficient use of capital

ROE: 27.6% β€” strong shareholder returns

Debt-Free Structure

Debt-to-equity: 0.01 β€” virtually no leverage risk

Consistent Earnings

PAT Qtr: β‚Ή267 Cr vs β‚Ή272 Cr β€” stable profits

EPS: β‚Ή6.56 β€” decent earnings base

Institutional Confidence

DII holding up 2.75% β€” domestic investors are bullish

⚠️ Valuation & Technical Concerns

Overvaluation Risks

P/E: 104 vs Industry PE of 57.2 β€” extremely expensive

PEG Ratio: 9.54 β€” suggests poor value relative to growth

Dividend Yield: 0.20% β€” not attractive for income investors

Momentum Weakness

RSI: 41.9 β€” nearing oversold territory

MACD: -2.75 β€” bearish crossover

Price near 200 DMA (β‚Ή659) β€” trend reversal possible

πŸ“ˆ Ideal Entry Price Zone

To reduce valuation risk, consider accumulating in the β‚Ή600–₹630 range

This zone is closer to support levels and offers better margin of safety

RSI and MACD suggest weakness β€” wait for stabilization or reversal signals

🧭 Exit Strategy / Holding Period

If you're already holding the stock

Holding Period: 3–5 years to benefit from sector tailwinds and margin expansion

Exit Strategy

Partial Exit near β‚Ή850–₹875 (52-week high) if valuation remains stretched

Hold if ROE stays above 25% and PEG drops below 2.5

Monitor quarterly PAT and EPS β€” any stagnation may warrant trimming

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