TRENT - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:04 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.8

📊 Analysis: TRENT is trading at ₹4,065, well below both 50 DMA (₹4,413) and 200 DMA (₹5,032), showing strong bearish bias. RSI at 29.7 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -115 confirms heavy negative momentum. Current volume (6.7L) is slightly above average (5.8L), suggesting active participation but largely on the sell side. Despite strong ROCE (28.6%) and ROE (27.2%), valuation remains stretched with P/E at 85.3 vs industry 55.9.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹4,050–₹4,070 (speculative entry near current levels).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹4,120 (short target), ₹4,180 (extended target if rebound sustains).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹4,020 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹4,120–₹4,180 if rebound occurs. If RSI fails to recover above 35 or MACD stays negative, consider early exit. A break below ₹4,020 should trigger stop-loss.

Positive

• 📈 ROCE 28.6% and ROE 27.2% show strong capital efficiency.
• 💰 EPS 47.6 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
• 📊 DII holding increased (+1.42%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
• 🔥 PAT improved from ₹423 Cr. to ₹451 Cr., showing earnings momentum.

Limitation

• ⚠️ Current price below DMA 50 & 200 shows weak trend.
• 📉 RSI 29.7 and MACD -115 confirm strong bearish momentum.
• 📊 High P/E 85.3 vs industry average (55.9), showing valuation premium.
• 📉 52w Index 3.79% indicates poor performance relative to highs.

Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding reduced (-1.58%), showing foreign investor caution.

Company Positive News

• 📈 DII holding increased (+1.42%), reflecting strong domestic support.
• 📈 PAT growth of 6.45% quarter-on-quarter shows earnings resilience.

Industry

• 🌐 Retail sector trades at PE 55.9, lower than TRENT’s valuation (85.3).
• 📊 Sector outlook stable, but TRENT trades at premium requiring momentum confirmation.

Conclusion

⚖️ TRENT is a weak-to-moderate intraday candidate. Oversold RSI may trigger rebound trades, but strong bearish momentum and stretched valuation suggest caution. Suitable only for speculative scalps with strict stop-loss discipline rather than aggressive intraday positions.

Would you like me to extend this into a retail sector basket overlay with peers like Avenue Supermarts (DMart), Aditya Birla Fashion, and V-Mart to benchmark TRENT’s intraday setup across the industry?