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RELIANCE - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.3

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 06:09 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3

Stock Code RELIANCE Market Cap 18,26,084 Cr. Current Price 1,350 ₹ High / Low 1,612 ₹
Stock P/E 41.6 Book Value 418 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.41 % ROCE 7.89 %
ROE 7.91 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,379 ₹ DMA 200 1,410 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.42 % Chg in DII Hold 0.36 % PAT Qtr 7,422 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 9,396 Cr.
RSI 45.2 MACD -8.61 Volume 1,50,35,777 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,27,43,146
Low price 1,290 ₹ High price 1,612 ₹ PEG Ratio -42.9 Debt to equity 0.41
52w Index 18.6 % Qtr Profit Var -33.8 % EPS 32.4 ₹ Industry PE 14.6

Analysis:

RELIANCE is trading at 1,350 ₹, below both DMA 50 (1,379 ₹) and DMA 200 (1,410 ₹), showing short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 45.2 indicates neutral-to-weak momentum, while MACD at -8.61 suggests bearish crossover. Volume (1,50,35,777) is above the 1-week average (1,27,43,146), reflecting strong participation, but fundamentals remain stretched with high P/E (41.6 vs industry 14.6) and declining quarterly PAT (-33.8%). ROE (7.91%) and ROCE (7.89%) are modest compared to peers.

Optimal Buy Price:

Entry zone: 1,340–1,350 ₹ if price stabilizes with rising volume.

Exit Levels:

- Profit-taking: 1,370–1,385 ₹ (near-term resistance)

- Stop-loss: 1,325 ₹ (below intraday support)

If Already Holding:

Exit intraday if price fails to hold above 1,340 ₹ or if RSI dips below 44 with weakening volume. Trail stop-loss to 1,350 ₹ once price moves above 1,370 ₹.

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Positive

- EPS at ₹32.4 supports valuation comfort

- Dividend yield at 0.41% provides income support

- DII holding increased (+0.36%), showing domestic investor confidence

- Strong trading volume above average indicates active participation

Limitation

- High P/E (41.6 vs industry 14.6) indicates overvaluation

- PEG ratio (-42.9) reflects poor growth prospects

- Price trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 signals technical weakness

- ROE (7.91%) and ROCE (7.89%) remain weak compared to peers

Company Negative News

- Quarterly PAT declined (9,396 Cr. → 7,422 Cr., -33.8%)

- FII holding reduced (-0.42%), showing weaker foreign sentiment

- Weak momentum indicators (MACD negative, RSI below 50)

Company Positive News

- DII inflows highlight domestic investor confidence

- EPS stability provides valuation comfort

- Strong volume participation despite weakness

Industry

- Industry PE at 14.6 highlights sector trading at lower multiples

- Energy and telecom sector supported by long-term demand

- Competitive landscape with peers offering stronger profitability metrics

Conclusion

RELIANCE is a weak-to-moderate intraday candidate with strong volume but weak fundamentals and bearish technicals. Optimal buy near 1,340–1,350 ₹ with profit exits around 1,370–1,385 ₹. Stop-loss at 1,325 ₹ is essential. Existing holders should trail stops and monitor RSI/volume closely for intraday exit signals.

This structured HTML report captures RELIANCE’s intraday setup with clear entry/exit logic. Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparison against ONGC and BPCL for sharper benchmarking?

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