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RELIANCE - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.6

Stock Code RELIANCE Market Cap 19,46,116 Cr. Current Price 1,438 ₹ High / Low 1,612 ₹
Stock P/E 48.9 Book Value 413 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.38 % ROCE 7.57 %
ROE 6.61 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,468 ₹ DMA 200 1,439 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.44 % Chg in DII Hold -0.15 % PAT Qtr 9,396 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 9,129 Cr.
RSI 48.5 MACD -34.2 Volume 2,63,34,958 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,65,03,502
Low price 1,115 ₹ High price 1,612 ₹ PEG Ratio -13.3 Debt to equity 0.37
52w Index 65.0 % Qtr Profit Var 7.74 % EPS 35.2 ₹ Industry PE 9.70

📊 Analysis: RELIANCE shows moderate strength for intraday trading. Current price (₹1,438) is slightly below 50 DMA (₹1,468) but aligned with 200 DMA (₹1,439), reflecting neutral-to-weak bias. RSI at 48.5 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (-34.2) confirms short-term weakness. Volume is significantly higher than weekly average, ensuring strong liquidity. Fundamentals are mixed: EPS (₹35.2) and quarterly PAT growth (+7.74%) support earnings, but high P/E (48.9 vs industry 9.70) and modest ROE (6.61%) limit valuation comfort.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹1,430–₹1,440 (near support zone close to 200 DMA).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹1,455–₹1,470 (short-term resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹1,420 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting if price fails to sustain above ₹1,438 or RSI drops below 46 intraday. If momentum improves with volume, partial profit booking near ₹1,455–₹1,470 is advisable.


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth (₹9,129 Cr → ₹9,396 Cr) shows earnings improvement.
  • EPS of ₹35.2 supports valuation strength.
  • FII holding increased (+0.44%), showing foreign investor confidence.
  • Volume significantly higher than weekly average, supporting intraday liquidity.
  • Diversified business model provides resilience across sectors.

Limitation

  • Price below 50 DMA, reflecting short-term weakness.
  • MACD negative (-34.2) indicates bearish momentum.
  • High P/E (48.9) compared to industry average (9.70), showing severe overvaluation.
  • ROCE (7.57%) and ROE (6.61%) reflect modest efficiency.
  • Dividend yield (0.38%) is negligible.

Company Negative News

  • DII holding reduced (-0.15%), showing cautious domestic sentiment.
  • PEG ratio (-13.3) highlights poor valuation relative to growth.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved sequentially (+7.74%).
  • FII holding increased (+0.44%), reflecting foreign confidence.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 9.70, much lower than RELIANCE’s valuation, highlighting relative overvaluation.
  • Energy and diversified conglomerate sector outlook supported by infrastructure and consumption demand.

Conclusion

⚠️ RELIANCE is a moderate candidate for intraday trading today. While fundamentals show earnings growth and strong liquidity, technicals remain weak with price below 50 DMA, negative MACD, and stretched valuation. Traders should adopt a cautious approach: Buy near ₹1,430–₹1,440, book profits around ₹1,455–₹1,470, and protect downside with stop-loss at ₹1,420.

Would you like me to also prepare a basket overlay comparison with other large-cap peers like TCS, Infosys, and HDFC Bank, so you can evaluate relative intraday strength across the Nifty heavyweights?

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