POONAWALLA - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Analysis: POONAWALLA is trading at ₹448, below its 50 DMA (₹467) but above the 200 DMA (₹439), reflecting mixed momentum. RSI at 39.4 indicates weak-to-neutral strength, while MACD (-9.09) confirms bearish bias. Intraday volume (8,59,958) is higher than the 1-week average (6,68,671), suggesting active participation today. Fundamentals remain weak with low ROCE (4.77%) and negative ROE (-1.29%), while valuations are expensive (P/E 167 vs industry PE 21.2). Intraday trades should be defensive.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹445–₹450 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹460 – ₹468 (short-term resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹440 (below intraday support).

⏱️ Exit Strategy if Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹448 with weakening momentum. If RSI drops below 38 and MACD remains negative, consider closing positions near ₹445–₹448. If momentum improves with volume pickup, hold until ₹460–₹468.

Positive

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth from ₹62.6 Cr. to ₹74.2 Cr. (+116% YoY).
• 💡 Trading above 200 DMA, showing medium-term support.
• ⚡ Strong volume participation above weekly average.

Limitation

• 📉 High P/E (167) vs industry PE (21.2) indicates expensive valuation.
• 📊 Low ROCE (4.77%) and negative ROE (-1.29%) show weak efficiency.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity 3.66 reflects high leverage risk.

Company Negative News

• ⚠️ FII holding reduced (-0.20%), showing foreign investor caution.
• 📉 Weak profitability despite revenue growth.

Company Positive News

• ✅ Quarterly PAT improved sequentially from ₹62.6 Cr. to ₹74.2 Cr.
• 💡 DII holding increased (+0.02%), supporting domestic sentiment.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 21.2 vs stock PE 167, showing significant premium valuation.
• 📊 Financial services sector remains cyclical, dependent on credit demand and macroeconomic conditions.

Conclusion

⚖️ POONAWALLA shows strong volume and PAT growth but weak fundamentals and expensive valuations. Intraday traders should be cautious, buying near support (₹445–₹450) with tight stop-losses. Upside is possible toward ₹460–₹468 if momentum improves. Long-term investors may remain cautious due to high leverage and weak efficiency, but intraday trades can be attempted defensively today.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing POONAWALLA with other NBFC/financial services stocks, or prepare a sector rotation basket scan to highlight stronger intraday momentum candidates?