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TATACHEM - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:11 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.4

Stock Code TATACHEM Market Cap 16,567 Cr. Current Price 650 ₹ High / Low 1,027 ₹
Stock P/E 24.8 Book Value 739 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.69 % ROCE 3.67 %
ROE 2.81 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 716 ₹ DMA 200 817 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.47 % Chg in DII Hold 0.23 % PAT Qtr 85.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 178 Cr.
RSI 24.8 MACD -15.8 Volume 7,90,745 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,15,159
Low price 649 ₹ High price 1,027 ₹ PEG Ratio -2.04 Debt to equity 0.11
52w Index 0.45 % Qtr Profit Var 18.4 % EPS 26.4 ₹ Industry PE 16.5

📊 Financial Overview

  • Revenue & Profit Growth: Quarterly PAT fell from ₹178 Cr. to ₹85.3 Cr., showing earnings weakness despite a YoY profit variation of +18.4%.
  • Margins: ROE at 2.81% and ROCE at 3.67% reflect poor profitability and capital efficiency.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 indicates low leverage, ensuring financial stability.
  • Cash Flow: Stable due to diversified chemical operations, but profitability remains under pressure.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 24.8 vs Industry PE of 16.5 → slightly expensive compared to peers.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price ₹650 vs Book Value ₹739 → ~0.88x, indicating undervaluation relative to book value.
  • PEG Ratio: -2.04 → signals weak growth outlook and overvaluation relative to earnings trajectory.
  • Intrinsic Value: Estimated fair value near ₹600–630, suggesting current price is slightly above fair value.

🧪 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Operates in chemicals, fertilizers, and specialty products with diversified exposure.
  • Competitive advantage lies in brand strength and Tata Group backing, though operational efficiency is weak.
  • Global exposure in soda ash and chemicals provides scale but profitability remains modest.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive between ₹600–630, closer to intrinsic value.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for patient investors; hold for 3–5 years with caution due to weak ROE/ROCE and earnings volatility.

✅ Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.11) ensures financial stability.
  • P/B ratio below 1.0 indicates undervaluation relative to book value.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.23%), showing domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Weak ROE (2.81%) and ROCE (3.67%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • P/E ratio (24.8) is higher than industry average despite weak profitability.
  • PEG ratio (-2.04) signals negative growth outlook.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT decline from ₹178 Cr. to ₹85.3 Cr. highlights earnings pressure.
  • FII holdings decreased (-1.47%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased, reflecting domestic confidence.
  • Strong brand presence under Tata Group provides stability.
  • Undervaluation relative to book value offers potential entry opportunity.

🏭 Industry

  • Chemicals industry is cyclical, driven by raw material costs and global demand.
  • Industry PE at 16.5 shows sector is moderately valued compared to Tata Chemicals’ premium.
  • Global demand for soda ash and specialty chemicals supports long-term prospects.

🔎 Conclusion

Tata Chemicals shows weak fundamentals with poor ROE/ROCE and declining quarterly profits, though low debt and undervaluation relative to book value provide some comfort. Entry around ₹600–630 offers better risk-reward. Long-term investors can hold for 3–5 years, benefiting from Tata Group stability and industry demand, but caution is advised due to earnings volatility and modest efficiency.

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