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SONATSOFTW - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code SONATSOFTW Market Cap 8,811 Cr. Current Price 313 ₹ High / Low 569 ₹
Stock P/E 45.6 Book Value 28.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.40 % ROCE 30.6 %
ROE 28.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 344 ₹ DMA 200 387 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.06 % Chg in DII Hold -0.03 % PAT Qtr 147 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 22.7 Cr.
RSI 35.3 MACD -11.8 Volume 3,32,536 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,14,745
Low price 286 ₹ High price 569 ₹ PEG Ratio -14.7 Debt to equity 0.16
52w Index 9.50 % Qtr Profit Var -10.8 % EPS 6.90 ₹ Industry PE 23.9

📊 Core Financials

  • Quarterly PAT at 147 Cr vs 22.7 Cr previously, showing strong sequential recovery but YoY decline (-10.8%).
  • ROE at 28.4% and ROCE at 30.6% reflect excellent capital efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.16 indicates low leverage and financial stability.
  • EPS at 6.90 ₹ provides a modest earnings base, though growth momentum is inconsistent.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E ratio: 45.6, significantly higher than industry average of 23.9, suggesting overvaluation.
  • P/B ratio: ~10.9 (313 ₹ / 28.6 ₹ book value), showing premium pricing.
  • PEG ratio: -14.7, negative due to declining earnings, highlighting valuation risk.
  • Intrinsic value appears lower than current price, limited margin of safety.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Sonata Software operates in IT services, digital transformation, and software solutions.
  • Competitive advantage lies in strong client relationships, niche digital offerings, and global delivery capabilities.
  • Exposure to IT demand cycles impacts earnings stability.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry zone: 290–310 ₹ range (near recent low of 286 ₹ and RSI at 35.3, oversold zone).
  • Long-term holding viable for investors seeking exposure to IT services growth.
  • Accumulation should be cautious due to stretched valuations and weak earnings trend.

Positive

  • Strong ROE (28.4%) and ROCE (30.6%).
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.16), ensuring financial stability.
  • Dividend yield at 1.40% provides income support.

Limitation

  • High P/E (45.6) compared to industry average (23.9).
  • Negative PEG ratio (-14.7) indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.
  • EPS (6.90 ₹) remains modest relative to valuation multiples.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variation shows decline (-10.8%).
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.06%) and DII holdings also declined (-0.03%).
  • Stock trading below 50 DMA (344 ₹) and 200 DMA (387 ₹), reflecting bearish trend.

Company Positive News

  • Sequential PAT recovery (147 Cr vs 22.7 Cr).
  • Strong capital efficiency metrics (ROE and ROCE).

Industry

  • Industry PE at 23.9, much lower than Sonata Software’s 45.6, highlighting sector undervaluation relative to Sonata.
  • IT services industry expected to grow steadily with digital transformation demand.

Conclusion

  • Sonata Software is financially stable with strong returns but faces weak earnings momentum.
  • Valuations remain stretched, making accumulation near 290–310 ₹ more attractive.
  • Best suited for long-term investors seeking IT services exposure, but caution advised due to high valuation multiples and earnings volatility.

I can also prepare a peer comparison with Infosys and Persistent Systems to highlight how Sonata Software stacks up in valuation and profitability. Would you like me to draft that next?

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