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RECLTD - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 4.0

Stock Code RECLTD Market Cap 94,692 Cr. Current Price 360 ₹ High / Low 452 ₹
Stock P/E 5.52 Book Value 314 ₹ Dividend Yield 5.00 % ROCE 9.92 %
ROE 21.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 363 ₹ DMA 200 386 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.51 % Chg in DII Hold 0.35 % PAT Qtr 4,043 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 4,426 Cr.
RSI 46.8 MACD 1.61 Volume 2,13,86,177 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,40,47,961
Low price 331 ₹ High price 452 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.34 Debt to equity 6.24
52w Index 23.9 % Qtr Profit Var 0.35 % EPS 65.2 ₹ Industry PE 19.1

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT at ₹4,043 Cr, slightly lower than previous ₹4,426 Cr, but EPS at ₹65.2 reflects strong earnings capacity.
  • Margins: ROE at 21.5% is robust, while ROCE at 9.92% indicates moderate efficiency.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 6.24 is very high, typical for financing companies, but manageable given government backing.
  • Cash Flows: Consistent profitability supports strong operating cash flows, though debt servicing remains a key risk.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 5.52, significantly below industry average of 19.1, suggesting undervaluation.
  • P/B Ratio: Current price ₹360 vs. book value ₹314 → ~1.15x, fairly reasonable.
  • PEG Ratio: 0.34, very attractive, showing strong growth potential relative to valuation.
  • Intrinsic Value: Appears undervalued compared to fundamentals, offering margin of safety.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • REC Ltd is a leading NBFC specializing in financing power sector projects.
  • Competitive advantage lies in government support, sectoral expertise, and consistent profitability.
  • Business model is stable but highly dependent on power sector growth and regulatory environment.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation range between ₹340 – ₹355, near DMA200 and support levels.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for long-term investors seeking value and dividend income, though high leverage risk must be monitored.

✅ Positive

  • Low P/E ratio compared to industry, indicating undervaluation.
  • Strong ROE at 21.5% reflects good shareholder returns.
  • High dividend yield of 5.00% provides steady income.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio (6.24) increases financial risk.
  • ROCE relatively modest at 9.92%, showing limited efficiency.
  • Dependence on power sector makes earnings vulnerable to policy changes.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Minor decline in quarterly PAT (₹4,426 Cr → ₹4,043 Cr).
  • FII holding decreased (-1.51%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.35%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • Stable profitability with EPS at ₹65.2.
  • PEG ratio of 0.34 highlights strong growth potential.

🏭 Industry

  • NBFC sector trades at industry PE of 19.1, much higher than REC’s 5.52, highlighting undervaluation.
  • Sector growth supported by infrastructure and power demand, though regulatory risks remain.

🔎 Conclusion

  • REC Ltd offers strong earnings, high dividend yield, and undervaluation compared to peers.
  • High leverage is a structural risk but manageable given government backing.
  • Best suited for long-term investors seeking value and income, with entry around ₹340 – ₹355 offering a good margin of safety.

I can also prepare a comparative HTML snapshot of REC Ltd versus PFC to highlight relative strengths and risks in the power financing sector.

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