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DIXON - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:08 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.2

Stock Code DIXON Market Cap 61,882 Cr. Current Price 10,196 ₹ High / Low 18,472 ₹
Stock P/E 82.8 Book Value 468 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.08 % ROCE 11.7 %
ROE 8.71 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 12,331 ₹ DMA 200 14,341 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.01 % Chg in DII Hold 0.13 % PAT Qtr 187 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 479 Cr.
RSI 26.7 MACD -685 Volume 15,74,871 Avg Vol 1Wk 11,77,812
Low price 9,828 ₹ High price 18,472 ₹ PEG Ratio 71.4 Debt to equity 0.28
52w Index 4.26 % Qtr Profit Var 7,383 % EPS 159 ₹ Industry PE 24.6

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profit Growth: Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from 479 Cr. to 187 Cr., showing earnings volatility despite reported profit variation of 7,383% YoY.
  • Profit Margins: ROE at 8.71% and ROCE at 11.7% are modest, reflecting average efficiency.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 0.28 indicates moderate leverage, manageable but not negligible.
  • Cash Flows: Dividend yield at 0.08% is negligible, showing reinvestment focus over shareholder payouts.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 82.8 vs Industry PE of 24.6, indicating extreme overvaluation.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price 10,196 ₹ / Book Value 468 ₹ ≈ 21.8, showing premium valuation.
  • PEG Ratio: 71.4, reflecting unsustainable growth expectations.
  • Intrinsic Value: Estimated fair value around 9,000–9,300 ₹, making current price significantly overvalued.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Dixon Technologies is India’s largest electronics manufacturing services (EMS) company, producing consumer electronics, lighting, and appliances.
  • Competitive advantage lies in scale, government-backed PLI schemes, and strong client partnerships with global brands.
  • However, margins remain thin due to contract manufacturing nature, and earnings are vulnerable to demand cycles.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive only if price corrects to 9,000–9,300 ₹, closer to intrinsic value.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking exposure to India’s electronics manufacturing growth, but high valuation and weak return ratios require cautious entry.

✅ Positive

  • India’s largest EMS player with strong client base.
  • Government PLI scheme support provides long-term growth tailwinds.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.13%), showing domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio compared to industry average.
  • Weak ROE (8.71%) and ROCE (11.7%) highlight modest efficiency.
  • Dividend yield at 0.08% offers negligible shareholder returns.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Decline in FII holding (-2.01%) indicates reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Technical indicators (RSI 26.7, MACD -685) show oversold bearish sentiment.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.13%), showing domestic support.
  • Strong positioning in India’s electronics manufacturing sector.

🏭 Industry

  • EMS industry PE at 24.6, much lower than Dixon’s 82.8, suggesting relative overvaluation.
  • Industry growth supported by rising domestic demand and government incentives for local manufacturing.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Dixon Technologies is a market leader in EMS with strong government support and client partnerships.
  • Valuation is extremely stretched compared to industry peers, making current levels unattractive for fresh entry.
  • Best suited for long-term investors only if price corrects to 9,000–9,300 ₹; cautious accumulation advised for exposure to India’s electronics manufacturing growth story.

I can also expand on PLI scheme benefits and global outsourcing trends to show how Dixon could sustain growth despite current valuation risks.

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